Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
24% / 25% / 51%Match resultAway win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fulham win (24.3%)Double chanceX275.7%1.32
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.62 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.6%Largest probability gapChelsea winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fulham win24%4.174.1023.1%+0.9 pp
Draw25%4.003.9024.3%+0.7 pp
Chelsea win51%1.961.8052.6%-1.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 53.1%
Total expected goals2.62Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%
Away share of expected goals 46.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchFulham
WDLLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchChelsea
LWDLL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
24%
Win probability excluding draw
51%7
Points from supplied form
41.39
Expected goals
1.23FulhamChelsea
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Fulham vs Chelsea FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Fulham win 24%，Draw 25%，Chelsea win 51%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.62 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under。