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ENG Angleterre - Premier League · Round 1 ·

Fulham vs Chelsea

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.62 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile24%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur51%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur51% selection probability
Projected score1–1FulhamChelsea
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de51% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
24% / 25% / 51%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fulham win (24.3%)Double chanceX275.7%1.32
Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%Goals 2.5Moins de51%1.96
Oui 54% · Non 46%Les deux équipes marquentOui54%1.85
2.62 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.6%Largest probability gapChelsea winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fulham win24%4.174.1023.1%+0.9 pp
Nul25%4.003.9024.3%+0.7 pp
Chelsea win51%1.961.8052.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fulham1.39

Domicile share of expected goals 53.1%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%

Chelsea1.23

Extérieur share of expected goals 46.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 54% · Non 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Fulham

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Chelsea

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Gagné probability excluding draw
51%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.39
Expected goals
1.23
FulhamChelsea
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fulham signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chelsea signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Fulham vs Chelsea FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fulham victoire 24%,Nul 25%,Chelsea victoire 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Plus de 2.5 49% · Current selection Moins de