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ENG イングランド プレミアリーグ · Round 1 ·

フラム vs チェルシー

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.62 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利24%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利51%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利51% selection probability
Projected score1–1フラムチェルシー
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
24% / 25% / 51%試合結果アウェイ勝利51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes フラム win (24.3%)ダブルチャンスX275.7%1.32
オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%Goals 2.5アンダー51%1.96
はい 54% · いいえ 46%両チーム得点はい54%1.85
2.62 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
10.4 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.6%Largest probability gapチェルシー winDifference-1.6 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
フラム win24%4.174.1023.1%+0.9 pp
引き分け25%4.003.9024.3%+0.7 pp
チェルシー win51%1.961.8052.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

フラム1.39

ホーム share of expected goals 53.1%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%

チェルシー1.23

アウェイ share of expected goals 46.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 54% · いいえ 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

フラム

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

チェルシー

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
勝ち probability excluding draw
51%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.39
Expected goals
1.23
フラムチェルシー
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01フラム signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02チェルシー signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

フラム vs チェルシー FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

フラム 勝ち 24%,引き分け 25%,チェルシー 勝ち 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · オーバー 2.5 49% · Current selection アンダー