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ルガーノ vs St Gallen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利42%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利27%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利42% selection probability
Projected score1–1ルガーノSt Gallen
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー58% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
42% / 30% / 27%試合結果ホーム勝利42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St Gallen win (27.5%)ダブルチャンス1X72.5%1.38
オーバー 42% · アンダー 58%Goals 2.5アンダー58%1.72
はい 47% · いいえ 53%両チーム得点いいえ53%1.89
2.35 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
10.1 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ルガーノ win42%2.38
引き分け30%3.33
St Gallen win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ルガーノ1.40

ホーム share of expected goals 59.6%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 42% · アンダー 58%

St Gallen0.95

アウェイ share of expected goals 40.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 47% · いいえ 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ルガーノ

2.40pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn0Losses1ポイント12

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

St Gallen

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
勝ち probability excluding draw
27%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.40
Expected goals
0.95
ルガーノSt Gallen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ルガーノ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St Gallen signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

ルガーノ vs St Gallen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ルガーノ 勝ち 42%,引き分け 30%,St Gallen 勝ち 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · オーバー 2.5 42% · Current selection アンダー