Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
42% / 30% / 28%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St Gallen win (27.5%)Double chance1X72.5%1.38
Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%Goals 2.5Moins de58%1.72
Oui 47% · Non 53%Les deux équipes marquentNon53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsScore exact1–1——
10.1 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Lugano win42%2.38
Nul30%3.33
St Gallen win28%3.57
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Domicile share of expected goals 59.6%
Total expected goals2.35Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%
Extérieur share of expected goals 40.4%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 47% · Non 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Domicile-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchLugano
WWWLW
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5
Extérieur-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchSt Gallen
DWLWW
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
42%
Gagné probability excluding draw
28%12
Points from supplied form
101.40
Expected goals
0.95LuganoSt Gallen
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Lugano vs St Gallen FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Lugano victoire 42%，Nul 30%，St Gallen victoire 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.35 · Plus de 2.5 42% · Current selection Moins de。