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CHE Switzerland Super League · Mäng ·

Lugano vs St. Gallen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit42%
Viik30%
Võõrsilvõit28%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit42% selection probability
Projected score1–1LuganoSt. Gallen
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alla58% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
42% / 30% / 28%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St. Gallen win (27.5%)Topeltvõimalus1X72.5%1.38
Üle 42% · Alla 58%Goals 2.5Alla58%1.72
Jah 47% · Ei 53%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
10.1 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Lugano win42%2.38
Viik30%3.33
St. Gallen win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lugano1.40

Kodu share of expected goals 59.6%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 42% · Alla 58%

St. Gallen0.95

Võõras share of expected goals 40.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 47% · Ei 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Lugano

2.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punktid12

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

St. Gallen

2.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punktid10

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Võit probability excluding draw
28%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.40
Expected goals
0.95
LuganoSt. Gallen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lugano signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St. Gallen signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Lugano vs St. Gallen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lugano võit 42%,Viik 30%,St. Gallen võit 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Üle 2.5 42% · Current selection Alla