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PRY パラグアイ ディビジョン・インテルメディア · 試合 ·

スポルティヴォ・カラペグア vs フェルナンド・デ・ラ・モラ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.76 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利36%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利35%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利36% selection probability
Projected score1–1スポルティヴォ・カラペグアフェルナンド・デ・ラ・モラ
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー52% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
36% / 29% / 35%試合結果ホーム勝利36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)ダブルチャンス1271.4%1.40
オーバー 52% · アンダー 48%Goals 2.5オーバー52%1.92
はい 56% · いいえ 44%両チーム得点はい56%1.79
2.76 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.1 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
スポルティヴォ・カラペグア win36%2.78
引き分け29%3.45
フェルナンド・デ・ラ・モラ win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

スポルティヴォ・カラペグア1.39

ホーム share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 52% · アンダー 48%

フェルナンド・デ・ラ・モラ1.37

アウェイ share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 56% · いいえ 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

スポルティヴォ・カラペグア

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

フェルナンド・デ・ラ・モラ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn4Losses0ポイント7

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
勝ち probability excluding draw
35%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.39
Expected goals
1.37
スポルティヴォ・カラペグアフェルナンド・デ・ラ・モラ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01スポルティヴォ・カラペグア signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02フェルナンド・デ・ラ・モラ signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

スポルティヴォ・カラペグア vs フェルナンド・デ・ラ・モラ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

スポルティヴォ・カラペグア 勝ち 36%,引き分け 29%,フェルナンド・デ・ラ・モラ 勝ち 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · オーバー 2.5 52% · Current selection オーバー