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PRY Paraguaj - Division Intermedia · Zápas ·

Sportivo Carapegua vs Fernando de la Mora

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.76 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich36%
Remíza29%
Výhra hostí35%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo CarapeguaFernando de la Mora
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac52% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
36% / 29% / 35%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Dvojitá šanca1271.4%1.40
Viac 52% · Menej 48%Goals 2.5Viac52%1.92
Áno 56% · Nie 44%Oba tímy skórujúÁno56%1.79
2.76 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
8.1 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Sportivo Carapegua win36%2.78
Remíza29%3.45
Fernando de la Mora win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Carapegua1.39

Domáci share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 52% · Menej 48%

Fernando de la Mora1.37

Hostia share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 56% · Nie 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Sportivo Carapegua

1.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Fernando de la Mora

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Body7

SignalHostia unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Výhra probability excluding draw
35%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.39
Expected goals
1.37
Sportivo CarapeguaFernando de la Mora
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Carapegua signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fernando de la Mora signalHostia unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Sportivo Carapegua vs Fernando de la Mora FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Carapegua výhra 36%,Remíza 29%,Fernando de la Mora výhra 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · Viac 2.5 52% · Current selection Viac