Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 29% / 35%Match resultHome win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Double chance1271.4%1.40
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.76 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sportivo Carapegua win36%2.78
Draw29%3.45
Fernando de la Mora win35%2.86
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 50.4%
Total expected goals2.76Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%
Away share of expected goals 49.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchSportivo Carapegua
WLWDD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchFernando de la Mora
DDWDD
Played5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Points7
SignalAway unbeaten 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
36%
Win probability excluding draw
35%8
Points from supplied form
71.39
Expected goals
1.37Sportivo CarapeguaFernando de la Mora
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Sportivo Carapegua vs Fernando de la Mora FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sportivo Carapegua win 36%，Draw 29%，Fernando de la Mora win 35%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.76 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over。