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ファジアーノ岡山 vs V・ファーレン長崎

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.73 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利43%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利28%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利43% selection probability
Projected score2–1ファジアーノ岡山V・ファーレン長崎
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
43% / 29% / 28%試合結果ホーム勝利43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes V・ファーレン長崎 win (28.2%)ダブルチャンス1X71.8%1.39
オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%Goals 2.5オーバー51%1.96
はい 55% · いいえ 45%両チーム得点はい55%1.82
2.73 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.8 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ファジアーノ岡山 win43%2.332.1543%0.0 pp
引き分け29%3.453.2028.9%+0.1 pp
V・ファーレン長崎 win28%3.573.3028%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ファジアーノ岡山1.51

ホーム share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%

V・ファーレン長崎1.22

アウェイ share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 55% · いいえ 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ファジアーノ岡山

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

V・ファーレン長崎

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
勝ち probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.51
Expected goals
1.22
ファジアーノ岡山V・ファーレン長崎
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ファジアーノ岡山 signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02V・ファーレン長崎 signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

ファジアーノ岡山 vs V・ファーレン長崎 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ファジアーノ岡山 勝ち 43%,引き分け 29%,V・ファーレン長崎 勝ち 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · オーバー 2.5 51% · Current selection オーバー