MatchFormula 試合を検索
Menu
UTC+8
タイムゾーンAsia/Shanghai
日本語
JPN J1リーグ · 試合 ·

アビスパ福岡 vs セレッソ大阪

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利34%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利36%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利36% selection probability
Projected score1–1アビスパ福岡セレッソ大阪
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー60% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
34% / 30% / 36%試合結果アウェイ勝利36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)ダブルチャンス1270.3%1.42
オーバー 40% · アンダー 60%Goals 2.5アンダー60%1.67
はい 45% · いいえ 55%両チーム得点いいえ55%1.82
2.28 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.5 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapアビスパ福岡 winDifference-1.1 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アビスパ福岡 win34%2.942.6335.1%-1.1 pp
引き分け30%3.333.1029.8%+0.2 pp
セレッソ大阪 win36%2.782.6335.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アビスパ福岡0.89

ホーム share of expected goals 39%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 40% · アンダー 60%

セレッソ大阪1.39

アウェイ share of expected goals 61%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 45% · いいえ 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アビスパ福岡

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn3Losses2ポイント3

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

セレッソ大阪

3.00pts / match
試合数5Wins5Drawn0Losses0ポイント15

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
勝ち probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
15
0.89
Expected goals
1.39
アビスパ福岡セレッソ大阪
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アビスパ福岡 signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02セレッソ大阪 signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

アビスパ福岡 vs セレッソ大阪 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アビスパ福岡 勝ち 34%,引き分け 30%,セレッソ大阪 勝ち 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · オーバー 2.5 40% · Current selection アンダー