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JPN Japonia - J-League · Meci ·

Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka

Archived pre-match prediction

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde34%
Egal30%
Victorie oaspeți36%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Avispa FukuokaCerezo Osaka
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub60% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
34% / 30% / 36%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Șansă dublă1270.3%1.42
Peste 40% · Sub 60%Goals 2.5Sub60%1.67
Da 45% · Nu 55%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu55%1.82
2.28 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapAvispa Fukuoka winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Avispa Fukuoka win34%2.942.6335.1%-1.1 pp
Egal30%3.333.1029.8%+0.2 pp
Cerezo Osaka win36%2.782.6335.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Avispa Fukuoka0.89

Gazde share of expected goals 39%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 40% · Sub 60%

Cerezo Osaka1.39

Oaspeți share of expected goals 61%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 45% · Nu 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Avispa Fukuoka

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puncte3

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Cerezo Osaka

3.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puncte15

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Câștig probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
15
0.89
Expected goals
1.39
Avispa FukuokaCerezo Osaka
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Avispa Fukuoka signalGazde matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerezo Osaka signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Avispa Fukuoka câștig 34%,Egal 30%,Cerezo Osaka câștig 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Peste 2.5 40% · Current selection Sub