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JPN Japán - J-League · Mérkőzés ·

Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem34%
Döntetlen30%
Vendég győzelem36%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Avispa FukuokaCerezo Osaka
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt60% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
34% / 30% / 36%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Dupla esély1270.3%1.42
Felett 40% · Alatt 60%Goals 2.5Alatt60%1.67
Igen 45% · Nem 55%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem55%1.82
2.28 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
9.5 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapAvispa Fukuoka winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Avispa Fukuoka win34%2.942.6335.1%-1.1 pp
Döntetlen30%3.333.1029.8%+0.2 pp
Cerezo Osaka win36%2.782.6335.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Avispa Fukuoka0.89

Hazai share of expected goals 39%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 40% · Alatt 60%

Cerezo Osaka1.39

Vendég share of expected goals 61%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 45% · Nem 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Avispa Fukuoka

0.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Pontok3

SignalHazai matches under 2.5: 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Cerezo Osaka

3.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Pontok15

SignalHazai failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Nyert probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
15
0.89
Expected goals
1.39
Avispa FukuokaCerezo Osaka
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Avispa Fukuoka signalHazai matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerezo Osaka signalHazai failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Avispa Fukuoka nyer 34%,Döntetlen 30%,Cerezo Osaka nyer 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · 2.5 felett 40% · Current selection Alatt