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JPN Japán - J-League · Mérkőzés ·

Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–12.73 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem43%
Döntetlen29%
Vendég győzelem28%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem43% selection probability
Projected score2–1Fagiano OkayamaV-Varen Nagasaki
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett51% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
43% / 29% / 28%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes V-Varen Nagasaki win (28.2%)Dupla esély1X71.8%1.39
Felett 51% · Alatt 49%Goals 2.5Felett51%1.96
Igen 55% · Nem 45%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen55%1.82
2.73 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
9.8 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fagiano Okayama win43%2.332.1543%0.0 pp
Döntetlen29%3.453.2028.9%+0.1 pp
V-Varen Nagasaki win28%3.573.3028%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fagiano Okayama1.51

Hazai share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 51% · Alatt 49%

V-Varen Nagasaki1.22

Vendég share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 55% · Nem 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Fagiano Okayama

1.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontok6

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

V-Varen Nagasaki

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Nyert probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.51
Expected goals
1.22
Fagiano OkayamaV-Varen Nagasaki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fagiano Okayama signalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02V-Varen Nagasaki signalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fagiano Okayama nyer 43%,Döntetlen 29%,V-Varen Nagasaki nyer 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · 2.5 felett 51% · Current selection Felett