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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Partita ·

Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.33 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa32%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite37%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Tecnico UniversitarioMushuc Runa
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto59% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
32% / 30% / 37%Esito partitaVittoria ospite37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.3%)Doppia Chance1269.7%1.43
Sopra 41% · Sotto 59%Goals 2.5Sotto59%1.69
Sì 48% · No 52%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52%1.92
2.33 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Tecnico Universitario win32%3.13
Pareggio30%3.33
Mushuc Runa win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tecnico Universitario1.09

Casa share of expected goals 46.8%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 41% · Sotto 59%

Mushuc Runa1.24

Trasferta share of expected goals 53.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Tecnico Universitario

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa failed to score: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Mushuc Runa

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Vinta probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.09
Expected goals
1.24
Tecnico UniversitarioMushuc Runa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tecnico Universitario signalCasa failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mushuc Runa signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tecnico Universitario vinta 32%,Pareggio 30%,Mushuc Runa vinta 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Sopra 2.5 41% · Current selection Sotto