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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Fixture ·

Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.33 expected goals
Away form
Home win33%
Draw30%
Away win37%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Tecnico UniversitarioMushuc Runa
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
33% / 30% / 37%Match resultAway win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.1%)Double chance1269.9%1.43
Over 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.33 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Tecnico Universitario win33%3.03
Draw30%3.33
Mushuc Runa win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tecnico Universitario1.09

Home share of expected goals 46.8%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 41% · Under 59%

Mushuc Runa1.24

Away share of expected goals 53.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Tecnico Universitario

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome failed to score: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Mushuc Runa

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Win probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.09
Expected goals
1.24
Tecnico UniversitarioMushuc Runa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tecnico Universitario signalHome failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mushuc Runa signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tecnico Universitario win 33%,Draw 30%,Mushuc Runa win 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Over 2.5 41% · Current selection Under