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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Final ·

ESPA vs NuPS

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score2–0Pronostico 2–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa67%
Pareggio18%
Vittoria ospite15%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 67% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa67% selection probability
Projected score2–1ESPANuPS
Expected goals2.40Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto57% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
67% / 18% / 15%Esito partitaVittoria casa67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes NuPS win (15%)Doppia Chance1X85%1.18
Sopra 43% · Sotto 57%Goals 2.5Sotto57%1.75
Sì 41% · No 59%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo59%1.69
2.40 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapESPA winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ESPA win67%1.491.3367.8%-0.8 pp
Pareggio18%5.565.2517.2%+0.8 pp
NuPS win15%6.676.0015%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ESPA1.70

Casa share of expected goals 70.8%

Total expected goals2.40Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 43% · Sotto 57%

NuPS0.70

Trasferta share of expected goals 29.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 41% · No 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

ESPA

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

NuPS

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Vinta probability excluding draw
15%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.70
Expected goals
0.70
ESPANuPS
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ESPA signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NuPS signalCasa clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

ESPA vs NuPS FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ESPA vinta 67%,Pareggio 18%,NuPS vinta 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.40 · Sopra 2.5 43% · Current selection Sotto