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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Final ·

ESPA vs NuPS

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score2–0Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg67%
Unentschieden18%
Auswärtssieg15%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 67% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg67% selection probability
Projected score2–1ESPANuPS
Expected goals2.40Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter57% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
67% / 18% / 15%SpielergebnisHeimsieg67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes NuPS win (15%)Doppelte Chance1X85%1.18
Über 43% · Unter 57%Goals 2.5Unter57%1.75
Ja 41% · Nein 59%Beide Teams treffenNein59%1.69
2.40 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapESPA winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ESPA win67%1.491.3367.8%-0.8 pp
Unentschieden18%5.565.2517.2%+0.8 pp
NuPS win15%6.676.0015%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ESPA1.70

Heim share of expected goals 70.8%

Total expected goals2.40Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 43% · Unter 57%

NuPS0.70

Auswärts share of expected goals 29.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nein 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

ESPA

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

NuPS

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
15%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.70
Expected goals
0.70
ESPANuPS
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ESPA signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NuPS signalHeim clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

ESPA vs NuPS FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ESPA Gewinn 67%,Unentschieden 18%,NuPS Gewinn 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.40 · Über 2.5 43% · Current selection Unter