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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Final ·

ЭсПа vs НуПС

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score2–0Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев67%
Ничья18%
Победа гостей15%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 67% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев67% selection probability
Projected score2–1ЭсПаНуПС
Expected goals2.40Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше57% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
67% / 18% / 15%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes НуПС win (15%)Двойной шанс1X85%1.18
Больше 43% · Меньше 57%Goals 2.5Меньше57%1.75
Да 41% · Нет 59%Обе забьютНет59%1.69
2.40 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapЭсПа winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ЭсПа win67%1.491.3367.8%-0.8 pp
Ничья18%5.565.2517.2%+0.8 pp
НуПС win15%6.676.0015%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ЭсПа1.70

Хозяева share of expected goals 70.8%

Total expected goals2.40Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 43% · Меньше 57%

НуПС0.70

Гости share of expected goals 29.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 41% · Нет 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ЭсПа

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

НуПС

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
15%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.70
Expected goals
0.70
ЭсПаНуПС
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ЭсПа signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02НуПС signalХозяева clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

ЭсПа vs НуПС FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ЭсПа выигрыш 67%,Ничья 18%,НуПС выигрыш 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.40 · ТБ 2.5 43% · Current selection Меньше