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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Final ·

ESPA vs NuPS

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score2–0Pronostic 2–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile67%
Nul18%
Victoire à l’extérieur15%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 67% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile67% selection probability
Projected score2–1ESPANuPS
Expected goals2.40Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de57% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
67% / 18% / 15%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes NuPS win (15%)Double chance1X85%1.18
Plus de 43% · Moins de 57%Goals 2.5Moins de57%1.75
Oui 41% · Non 59%Les deux équipes marquentNon59%1.69
2.40 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapESPA winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ESPA win67%1.491.3367.8%-0.8 pp
Nul18%5.565.2517.2%+0.8 pp
NuPS win15%6.676.0015%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ESPA1.70

Domicile share of expected goals 70.8%

Total expected goals2.40Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 43% · Moins de 57%

NuPS0.70

Extérieur share of expected goals 29.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 41% · Non 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

ESPA

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

NuPS

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Gagné probability excluding draw
15%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.70
Expected goals
0.70
ESPANuPS
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ESPA signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NuPS signalDomicile clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

ESPA vs NuPS FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ESPA victoire 67%,Nul 18%,NuPS victoire 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.40 · Plus de 2.5 43% · Current selection Moins de