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FC Kontu vs MPS

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.81 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa55%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite19%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa55% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC KontuMPS
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra53% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
55% / 26% / 19%Esito partitaVittoria casa55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MPS win (19.1%)Doppia Chance1X80.9%1.24
Sopra 53% · Sotto 47%Goals 2.5Sopra53%1.89
Sì 48% · No 52%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52%1.92
2.81 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
FC Kontu win55%1.82
Pareggio26%3.85
MPS win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Kontu2.01

Casa share of expected goals 71.5%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 53% · Sotto 47%

MPS0.80

Trasferta share of expected goals 28.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

FC Kontu

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa won 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

MPS

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vinta probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
3
2.01
Expected goals
0.80
FC KontuMPS
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Kontu signalCasa won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MPS signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FC Kontu vs MPS FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Kontu vinta 55%,Pareggio 26%,MPS vinta 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Sopra 2.5 53% · Current selection Sopra