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USA USA USL Championship · Mérkőzés ·

Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem26%
Döntetlen25%
Vendég győzelem49%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
Expected goals3.24Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett63% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
26% / 25% / 49%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Dupla esély1275.3%1.33
Felett 63% · Alatt 37%Goals 2.5Felett63%1.59
Igen 64% · Nem 36%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen64%1.56
3.24 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
9.5 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.9%Largest probability gapTampa Bay Rowdies winDifference-2.0 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Orange County SC win26%3.853.7524.5%+1.5 pp
Döntetlen25%4.003.7524.5%+0.5 pp
Tampa Bay Rowdies win49%2.041.8051%-2.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Orange County SC1.86

Hazai share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals3.24Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 63% · Alatt 37%

Tampa Bay Rowdies1.38

Vendég share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 64% · Nem 36%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Orange County SC

2.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontok11

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Tampa Bay Rowdies

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Nyert probability excluding draw
49%
11
Points from supplied form
10
1.86
Expected goals
1.38
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Orange County SC signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tampa Bay Rowdies signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Orange County SC nyer 26%,Döntetlen 25%,Tampa Bay Rowdies nyer 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · 2.5 felett 63% · Current selection Felett