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USA USA USL Championship · Partido ·

Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local26%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante49%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
Expected goals3.24Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de63% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
26% / 25% / 49%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Doble Oportunidad1275.3%1.33
Más de 63% · Menos de 37%Goals 2.5Más de63%1.59
Sí 64% · No 36%Ambos equipos marcan64%1.56
3.24 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.9%Largest probability gapTampa Bay Rowdies winDifference-2.0 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Orange County SC win26%3.853.7524.5%+1.5 pp
Empate25%4.003.7524.5%+0.5 pp
Tampa Bay Rowdies win49%2.041.8051%-2.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Orange County SC1.86

Local share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals3.24Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 63% · Menos de 37%

Tampa Bay Rowdies1.38

Visitante share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 64% · No 36%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Orange County SC

2.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puntos11

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Tampa Bay Rowdies

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Ganado probability excluding draw
49%
11
Points from supplied form
10
1.86
Expected goals
1.38
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Orange County SC signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tampa Bay Rowdies signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Orange County SC ganada 26%,Empate 25%,Tampa Bay Rowdies ganada 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Más de 2.5 63% · Current selection Más de