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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

Sporting Cristal vs Sport Huancayo

Prediction review

Home form
Final score4–1Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win55%
Draw24%
Away win21%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sporting CristalSport Huancayo
Expected goals3.53Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over69% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 24% / 21%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sport Huancayo win (21.3%)Double chance1X78.7%1.27
Over 69% · Under 31%Goals 2.5Over69%1.45
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.53 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sporting Cristal win55%1.82
Draw24%4.17
Sport Huancayo win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sporting Cristal2.39

Home share of expected goals 67.7%

Total expected goals3.53Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 69% · Under 31%

Sport Huancayo1.14

Away share of expected goals 32.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sporting Cristal

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sport Huancayo

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
7
2.39
Expected goals
1.14
Sporting CristalSport Huancayo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sporting Cristal signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sport Huancayo signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Sporting Cristal vs Sport Huancayo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sporting Cristal win 55%,Draw 24%,Sport Huancayo win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.53 · Over 2.5 69% · Current selection Over