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JPN Japan J-League · Fixture ·

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F-Marinos

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.75 expected goals
Away form
Home win37%
Draw29%
Away win34%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win37% selection probability
Projected score1–2Shimizu S-PulseYokohama F-Marinos
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 29% / 34%Match resultHome win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Double chance1270.6%1.42
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.75 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gapYokohama F-Marinos winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Shimizu S-Pulse win37%2.702.4537.5%-0.5 pp
Draw29%3.453.1029.7%-0.7 pp
Yokohama F-Marinos win34%2.942.8032.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shimizu S-Pulse1.19

Home share of expected goals 43.3%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

Yokohama F-Marinos1.56

Away share of expected goals 56.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Shimizu S-Pulse

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Yokohama F-Marinos

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalAway failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.19
Expected goals
1.56
Shimizu S-PulseYokohama F-Marinos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shimizu S-Pulse signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Yokohama F-Marinos signalAway failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F-Marinos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shimizu S-Pulse win 37%,Draw 29%,Yokohama F-Marinos win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over