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清水エスパルス vs 横浜F・マリノス

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.75 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利37%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利34%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利37% selection probability
Projected score1–2清水エスパルス横浜F・マリノス
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー52% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
37% / 29% / 34%試合結果ホーム勝利37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)ダブルチャンス1270.6%1.42
オーバー 52% · アンダー 48%Goals 2.5オーバー52%1.92
はい 55% · いいえ 45%両チーム得点はい55%1.82
2.75 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
9.2 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gap横浜F・マリノス winDifference+1.2 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
清水エスパルス win37%2.702.4537.5%-0.5 pp
引き分け29%3.453.1029.7%-0.7 pp
横浜F・マリノス win34%2.942.8032.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

清水エスパルス1.19

ホーム share of expected goals 43.3%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 52% · アンダー 48%

横浜F・マリノス1.56

アウェイ share of expected goals 56.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 55% · いいえ 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

清水エスパルス

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

横浜F・マリノス

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalアウェイ failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
勝ち probability excluding draw
34%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.19
Expected goals
1.56
清水エスパルス横浜F・マリノス
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01清水エスパルス signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02横浜F・マリノス signalアウェイ failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

清水エスパルス vs 横浜F・マリノス FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

清水エスパルス 勝ち 37%,引き分け 29%,横浜F・マリノス 勝ち 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · オーバー 2.5 52% · Current selection オーバー