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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Final ·

Sfera FC U20 vs XV de Jau U20

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–1Forecast 4–1
Away form
Home win59%
Draw22%
Away win19%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 59% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win59% selection probability
Projected score4–1Sfera FC U20XV de Jau U20
Expected goals4.99Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over87% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
59% / 22% / 19%Match resultHome win59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes XV de Jau U20 win (18.6%)Double chance1X81.4%1.23
Over 87% · Under 13%Goals 2.5Over87%1.15
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
4.99 total expected goalsCorrect score4–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapSfera FC U20 winDifference+4.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sfera FC U20 win59%1.691.6554.6%+4.4 pp
Draw22%4.553.7524%-2.0 pp
XV de Jau U20 win19%5.264.2021.4%-2.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sfera FC U204.27

Home share of expected goals 85.6%

Total expected goals4.99Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 87% · Under 13%

XV de Jau U200.72

Away share of expected goals 14.4%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sfera FC U20

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

XV de Jau U20

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Win probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
5
4.27
Expected goals
0.72
Sfera FC U20XV de Jau U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sfera FC U20 signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02XV de Jau U20 signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Sfera FC U20 vs XV de Jau U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 4–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sfera FC U20 win 59%,Draw 22%,XV de Jau U20 win 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.99 · Over 2.5 87% · Current selection Over