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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Match ·

Sfera FC - U20 vs XV de Jau - U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score4–14.99 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile59%
Nul22%
Victoire à l’extérieur19%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile59% selection probability
Projected score4–1Sfera FC - U20XV de Jau - U20
Expected goals4.99Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de87% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
59% / 22% / 19%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes XV de Jau - U20 win (18.6%)Double chance1X81.4%1.23
Plus de 87% · Moins de 13%Goals 2.5Plus de87%1.15
Oui 51% · Non 49%Les deux équipes marquentOui51%1.96
4.99 total expected goalsScore exact4–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapSfera FC - U20 winDifference+4.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sfera FC - U20 win59%1.691.6554.6%+4.4 pp
Nul22%4.553.7524%-2.0 pp
XV de Jau - U20 win19%5.264.2021.4%-2.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sfera FC - U204.27

Domicile share of expected goals 85.6%

Total expected goals4.99Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 87% · Moins de 13%

XV de Jau - U200.72

Extérieur share of expected goals 14.4%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitOui 51% · Non 49%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Sfera FC - U20

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile won 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

XV de Jau - U20

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gagné probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
5
4.27
Expected goals
0.72
Sfera FC - U20XV de Jau - U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sfera FC - U20 signalDomicile won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02XV de Jau - U20 signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Sfera FC - U20 vs XV de Jau - U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 4–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sfera FC - U20 victoire 59%,Nul 22%,XV de Jau - U20 victoire 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.99 · Plus de 2.5 87% · Current selection Plus de