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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Final ·

Sfera FC Sub20 vs XV de Jau Sub20

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score2–1Previsão 4–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa59%
Empate22%
Vitória visitante19%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 59% selection probability
Prediction Acertou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa59% selection probability
Projected score4–1Sfera FC Sub20XV de Jau Sub20
Expected goals4.99Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima87% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
59% / 22% / 19%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes XV de Jau Sub20 win (18.6%)Dupla Chance1X81.4%1.23
Acima 87% · Abaixo 13%Goals 2.5Acima87%1.15
Sim 51% · Não 49%Ambas as equipes marcamSim51%1.96
4.99 total expected goalsPlacar exato4–1
9.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapSfera FC Sub20 winDifference+4.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sfera FC Sub20 win59%1.691.6554.6%+4.4 pp
Empate22%4.553.7524%-2.0 pp
XV de Jau Sub20 win19%5.264.2021.4%-2.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sfera FC Sub204.27

Mandante share of expected goals 85.6%

Total expected goals4.99Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 87% · Abaixo 13%

XV de Jau Sub200.72

Visitante share of expected goals 14.4%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitSim 51% · Não 49%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Sfera FC Sub20

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalMandante won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

XV de Jau Sub20

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
5
4.27
Expected goals
0.72
Sfera FC Sub20XV de Jau Sub20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sfera FC Sub20 signalMandante won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02XV de Jau Sub20 signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Sfera FC Sub20 vs XV de Jau Sub20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 4–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sfera FC Sub20 ganhou 59%,Empate 22%,XV de Jau Sub20 ganhou 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.99 · Acima 2.5 87% · Current selection Acima