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AUS Australia New South Wales Premier League · Fixture ·

St George City FA vs Rockdale Ilinden FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.54 expected goals
Away form
Home win24%
Draw28%
Away win48%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win48% selection probability
Projected score1–2St George City FARockdale Ilinden FC
Expected goals2.54Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
24% / 28% / 48%Match resultAway win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St George City FA win (24.2%)Double chanceX275.8%1.32
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.54 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
St George City FA win24%4.17
Draw28%3.57
Rockdale Ilinden FC win48%2.08

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St George City FA0.90

Home share of expected goals 35.4%

Total expected goals2.54Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Rockdale Ilinden FC1.64

Away share of expected goals 64.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

St George City FA

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Rockdale Ilinden FC

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Win probability excluding draw
48%
7
Points from supplied form
5
0.90
Expected goals
1.64
St George City FARockdale Ilinden FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St George City FA signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rockdale Ilinden FC signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

St George City FA vs Rockdale Ilinden FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St George City FA win 24%,Draw 28%,Rockdale Ilinden FC win 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.54 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under