Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 26% / 33%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Double chance1274.4%1.34
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.13 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
RFS win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp
Draw26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Riga FC win33%3.032.7033.3%-0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 55.3%
Total expected goals3.13Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%
Away share of expected goals 44.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchRFS
LWLDW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalAway unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchRiga FC
DDWWW
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalAway clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
41%
Win probability excluding draw
33%7
Points from supplied form
111.73
Expected goals
1.40RFSRiga FC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
RFS vs Riga FC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
RFS win 41%，Draw 26%，Riga FC win 33%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.13 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over。