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LVA Letland - Virsliga · Final ·

RFS vs Riga FC

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score3–3Prognose 2–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr41%
Uafgjort26%
Udesejr33%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Tabt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr41% selection probability
Projected score2–1RFSRiga FC
Expected goals3.13Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
41% / 26% / 33%KampresultatHjemmesejr41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Dobbeltchance1274.4%1.34
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Ja 63% · Nej 37%Begge hold scorerJa63%1.59
3.13 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
RFS win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp
Uafgjort26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Riga FC win33%3.032.7033.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

RFS1.73

Hjemme share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals3.13Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

Riga FC1.40

Ude share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nej 37%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

RFS

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalUde unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Riga FC

2.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Point11

SignalUde clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vundet probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
11
1.73
Expected goals
1.40
RFSRiga FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01RFS signalUde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Riga FC signalUde clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

RFS vs Riga FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

RFS vundet 41%,Uafgjort 26%,Riga FC vundet 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over