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ISL Iceland 3 Deild · Fixture ·

Reynir Sandgerdi vs UMF Tindastoll

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.62 expected goals
Away form
Home win41%
Draw21%
Away win38%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Reynir SandgerdiUMF Tindastoll
Expected goals3.62Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over70% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes70% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 21% / 38%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.3%)Double chance1278.7%1.27
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Yes 70% · No 30%Both teams scoreYes70%1.43
3.62 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
12.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Reynir Sandgerdi win41%2.442.2040.7%
Draw21%4.764.2021.3%
UMF Tindastoll win38%2.632.3538.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Reynir Sandgerdi1.86

Home share of expected goals 51.4%

Total expected goals3.62Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%

UMF Tindastoll1.76

Away share of expected goals 48.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 70% · No 30%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Reynir Sandgerdi

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

UMF Tindastoll

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Win probability excluding draw
38%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.86
Expected goals
1.76
Reynir SandgerdiUMF Tindastoll
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Reynir Sandgerdi signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UMF Tindastoll signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Reynir Sandgerdi vs UMF Tindastoll FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Reynir Sandgerdi win 41%,Draw 21%,UMF Tindastoll win 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over