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ISL Island - 3. Deild · Spiel ·

Reynir Sandgerdi vs UMF Tindastoll

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.62 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg41%
Unentschieden21%
Auswärtssieg38%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Reynir SandgerdiUMF Tindastoll
Expected goals3.62Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über70% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
41% / 21% / 38%SpielergebnisHeimsieg41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.3%)Doppelte Chance1278.7%1.27
Über 70% · Unter 30%Goals 2.5Über70%1.43
Ja 70% · Nein 30%Beide Teams treffenJa70%1.43
3.62 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
12.1 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Reynir Sandgerdi win41%2.442.2040.7%
Unentschieden21%4.764.2021.3%
UMF Tindastoll win38%2.632.3538.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Reynir Sandgerdi1.86

Heim share of expected goals 51.4%

Total expected goals3.62Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 70% · Unter 30%

UMF Tindastoll1.76

Auswärts share of expected goals 48.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 70% · Nein 30%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Reynir Sandgerdi

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

UMF Tindastoll

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalAuswärts won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
38%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.86
Expected goals
1.76
Reynir SandgerdiUMF Tindastoll
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Reynir Sandgerdi signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UMF Tindastoll signalAuswärts won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Reynir Sandgerdi vs UMF Tindastoll FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Reynir Sandgerdi Gewinn 41%,Unentschieden 21%,UMF Tindastoll Gewinn 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Über 2.5 70% · Current selection Über