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SVN Slovenia 2. SNL · Fixture ·

ND Beltinci vs NK Rudar Velenje

Archived pre-match prediction

Home form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
Away form
Home win57%
Draw25%
Away win18%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win57% selection probability
Projected score2–1ND BeltinciNK Rudar Velenje
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
57% / 25% / 18%Match resultHome win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes NK Rudar Velenje win (18.2%)Double chance1X81.8%1.22
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.51 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ND Beltinci win57%1.751.5757.5%-0.5 pp
Draw25%4.003.7024.4%+0.6 pp
NK Rudar Velenje win18%5.565.0018.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ND Beltinci1.62

Home share of expected goals 64.5%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

NK Rudar Velenje0.89

Away share of expected goals 35.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

ND Beltinci

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

NK Rudar Velenje

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Win probability excluding draw
18%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.62
Expected goals
0.89
ND BeltinciNK Rudar Velenje
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ND Beltinci signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NK Rudar Velenje signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

ND Beltinci vs NK Rudar Velenje FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ND Beltinci win 57%,Draw 25%,NK Rudar Velenje win 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under