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SVN Slovenia 2. SNL · Fixture ·

Jadran Dekani vs ND Slovan Ljubljana

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.39 expected goals
Away form
Home win44%
Draw28%
Away win29%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Jadran DekaniND Slovan Ljubljana
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 28% / 29%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Double chance1272.4%1.38
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.39 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Jadran Dekani win44%2.272.0543.6%+0.4 pp
Draw28%3.573.2527.5%+0.5 pp
ND Slovan Ljubljana win29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Jadran Dekani1.38

Home share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%

ND Slovan Ljubljana1.01

Away share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Jadran Dekani

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome failed to score: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

ND Slovan Ljubljana

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
1
Points from supplied form
5
1.38
Expected goals
1.01
Jadran DekaniND Slovan Ljubljana
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Jadran Dekani signalHome failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ND Slovan Ljubljana signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Jadran Dekani vs ND Slovan Ljubljana FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Jadran Dekani win 44%,Draw 28%,ND Slovan Ljubljana win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under