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SVN Slovenië - 2. SNL · Wedstrijd ·

ND Beltinci vs NK Rudar Velenje

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst56%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst20%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst56% selection probability
Projected score2–1ND BeltinciNK Rudar Velenje
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
56% / 24% / 20%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes NK Rudar Velenje win (20%)Dubbele Kans1X80%1.25
Boven 46% · Onder 54%Goals 2.5Onder54%1.85
Ja 48% · Nee 52%Beide teams scorenNee52%1.92
2.51 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapND Beltinci winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ND Beltinci win56%1.791.6056.1%-0.1 pp
Gelijkspel24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
NK Rudar Velenje win20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ND Beltinci1.62

Thuis share of expected goals 64.5%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 46% · Onder 54%

NK Rudar Velenje0.89

Uit share of expected goals 35.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nee 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

ND Beltinci

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

NK Rudar Velenje

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
20%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.62
Expected goals
0.89
ND BeltinciNK Rudar Velenje
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ND Beltinci signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NK Rudar Velenje signalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

ND Beltinci vs NK Rudar Velenje FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ND Beltinci gewonnen 56%,Gelijkspel 24%,NK Rudar Velenje gewonnen 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Boven 2.5 46% · Current selection Onder