MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
CHN China Division 2 · Fixture ·

Nantong Haimen Codion vs Qingdao Red Lions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Away form
Home win39%
Draw31%
Away win30%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Nantong Haimen CodionQingdao Red Lions
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 31% / 30%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Qingdao Red Lions win (30.2%)Double chance1X69.8%1.43
Over 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
2.19 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Nantong Haimen Codion win39%2.56
Draw31%3.23
Qingdao Red Lions win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nantong Haimen Codion1.22

Home share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 37% · Under 63%

Qingdao Red Lions0.97

Away share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Nantong Haimen Codion

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Qingdao Red Lions

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.22
Expected goals
0.97
Nantong Haimen CodionQingdao Red Lions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nantong Haimen Codion signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Qingdao Red Lions signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Nantong Haimen Codion vs Qingdao Red Lions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nantong Haimen Codion win 39%,Draw 31%,Qingdao Red Lions win 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Over 2.5 37% · Current selection Under