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CHN China Division 2 · Spiel ·

Nantong Haimen Codion vs Qingdao Red Lions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg39%
Unentschieden31%
Auswärtssieg30%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Nantong Haimen CodionQingdao Red Lions
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter63% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
39% / 31% / 30%SpielergebnisHeimsieg39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Qingdao Red Lions win (30.2%)Doppelte Chance1X69.8%1.43
Über 37% · Unter 63%Goals 2.5Unter63%1.59
Ja 44% · Nein 56%Beide Teams treffenNein56%1.79
2.19 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.1 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Nantong Haimen Codion win39%2.56
Unentschieden31%3.23
Qingdao Red Lions win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nantong Haimen Codion1.22

Heim share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 37% · Unter 63%

Qingdao Red Lions0.97

Auswärts share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nein 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Nantong Haimen Codion

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Qingdao Red Lions

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.22
Expected goals
0.97
Nantong Haimen CodionQingdao Red Lions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nantong Haimen Codion signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Qingdao Red Lions signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Nantong Haimen Codion vs Qingdao Red Lions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nantong Haimen Codion Gewinn 39%,Unentschieden 31%,Qingdao Red Lions Gewinn 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Über 2.5 37% · Current selection Unter