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INT Leagues Cup · Fixture ·

Toluca vs LAFC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.62 expected goals
Away form
Home win39%
Draw25%
Away win36%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1TolucaLAFC
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 25% / 36%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Double chance1275.1%1.33
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.62 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Toluca win39%2.562.5037.6%
Draw25%4.003.8024.8%
LAFC win36%2.782.5037.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Toluca1.40

Home share of expected goals 53.4%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

LAFC1.22

Away share of expected goals 46.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Toluca

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

LAFC

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
11
1.40
Expected goals
1.22
TolucaLAFC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Toluca signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02LAFC signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Toluca vs LAFC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Toluca win 39%,Draw 25%,LAFC win 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under