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INT Leagues Cup · Fixture ·

Chivas Guadalajara vs FC Dallas

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.69 expected goals
Away form
Home win52%
Draw24%
Away win24%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 52% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Chivas GuadalajaraFC Dallas
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
52% / 24% / 24%Match resultHome win52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Dallas win (24%)Double chance1X76%1.32
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Over50%2.00
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.69 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chivas Guadalajara win52%1.921.8052%
Draw24%4.173.9024%
FC Dallas win24%4.173.9024%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chivas Guadalajara1.65

Home share of expected goals 61.3%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

FC Dallas1.04

Away share of expected goals 38.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Chivas Guadalajara

2.00pts / match
Played2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Points4

SignalHome unbeaten 2/2

Away-context · form sequence

FC Dallas

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.65
Expected goals
1.04
Chivas GuadalajaraFC Dallas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chivas Guadalajara signalHome unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Dallas signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Chivas Guadalajara vs FC Dallas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chivas Guadalajara win 52%,Draw 24%,FC Dallas win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Over