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INT Leagues Cup · Fixture ·

Orlando City vs Leon

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.66 expected goals
Away form
Home win46%
Draw25%
Away win29%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Orlando CityLeon
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 25% / 29%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Double chance1275.5%1.32
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.66 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Orlando City win46%2.172.0545.4%
Draw25%4.003.8024.5%
Leon win29%3.453.1030%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Orlando City1.54

Home share of expected goals 57.9%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

Leon1.12

Away share of expected goals 42.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Orlando City

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Leon

3.00pts / match
Played1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.54
Expected goals
1.12
Orlando CityLeon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Orlando City signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leon signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Orlando City vs Leon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Orlando City win 46%,Draw 25%,Leon win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Under