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INT Leagues Cup · Fixture ·

Columbus Crew vs Pachuca

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.64 expected goals
Away form
Home win43%
Draw27%
Away win31%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Columbus CrewPachuca
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 27% / 31%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Double chance1273.3%1.36
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Columbus Crew win43%2.332.2541.8%
Draw27%3.703.5026.9%
Pachuca win31%3.233.0031.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Columbus Crew1.49

Home share of expected goals 56.4%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Pachuca1.15

Away share of expected goals 43.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Columbus Crew

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Pachuca

1.00pts / match
Played3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.49
Expected goals
1.15
Columbus CrewPachuca
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Columbus Crew signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pachuca signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Columbus Crew vs Pachuca FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Columbus Crew win 43%,Draw 27%,Pachuca win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under