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INT Leagues Cup · Wedstrijd ·

Toluca vs LAFC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.62 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst39%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst36%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst39% selection probability
Projected score1–1TolucaLAFC
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
39% / 25% / 36%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Dubbele Kans1274.9%1.34
Boven 49% · Onder 51%Goals 2.5Onder51%1.96
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
2.62 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Toluca win39%2.562.5037.5%
Gelijkspel25%4.003.7525%
LAFC win36%2.782.5037.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Toluca1.40

Thuis share of expected goals 53.4%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 49% · Onder 51%

LAFC1.22

Uit share of expected goals 46.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Toluca

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Punten4

SignalThuis unbeaten 2/2

Uit-context · form sequence

LAFC

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
36%
4
Points from supplied form
11
1.40
Expected goals
1.22
TolucaLAFC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Toluca signalThuis unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02LAFC signalThuis clean sheets: 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Toluca vs LAFC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Toluca gewonnen 39%,Gelijkspel 25%,LAFC gewonnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Boven 2.5 49% · Current selection Onder