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INT Leagues Cup · Spiel ·

Toluca vs LAFC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.62 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg39%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg36%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg39% selection probability
Projected score1–1TolucaLAFC
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter51% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
39% / 25% / 36%SpielergebnisHeimsieg39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Doppelte Chance1275.1%1.33
Über 49% · Unter 51%Goals 2.5Unter51%1.96
Ja 52% · Nein 48%Beide Teams treffenJa52%1.92
2.62 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.0 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Toluca win39%2.562.5037.6%
Unentschieden25%4.003.8024.8%
LAFC win36%2.782.5037.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Toluca1.40

Heim share of expected goals 53.4%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 49% · Unter 51%

LAFC1.22

Auswärts share of expected goals 46.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nein 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Toluca

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

LAFC

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
11
1.40
Expected goals
1.22
TolucaLAFC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Toluca signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02LAFC signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Toluca vs LAFC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Toluca Gewinn 39%,Unentschieden 25%,LAFC Gewinn 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Über 2.5 49% · Current selection Unter