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AUS Australia Tasmania Super League Women · Fixture ·

Kingborough Lions (W) vs South Hobart (W)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.57 expected goals
Away form
Home win25%
Draw20%
Away win55%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 55% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win55% selection probability
Projected score2–2Kingborough Lions (W)South Hobart (W)
Expected goals3.57Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over69% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
25% / 20% / 55%Match resultAway win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.4%)Double chance1279.6%1.26
Over 69% · Under 31%Goals 2.5Over69%1.45
Yes 69% · No 31%Both teams scoreYes69%1.45
3.57 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kingborough Lions (W) win25%4.003.9023%
Draw20%5.004.5019.9%
South Hobart (W) win55%1.821.5757.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kingborough Lions (W)1.56

Home share of expected goals 43.7%

Total expected goals3.57Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 69% · Under 31%

South Hobart (W)2.01

Away share of expected goals 56.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 69% · No 31%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Kingborough Lions (W)

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

South Hobart (W)

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Win probability excluding draw
55%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.56
Expected goals
2.01
Kingborough Lions (W)South Hobart (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kingborough Lions (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02South Hobart (W) signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Kingborough Lions (W) vs South Hobart (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kingborough Lions (W) win 25%,Draw 20%,South Hobart (W) win 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.57 · Over 2.5 69% · Current selection Over