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AUS Australia Tasmania Super League Women · Fixture ·

Taroona (W) vs Glenorchy Knights (W)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.57 expected goals
Away form
Home win16%
Draw17%
Away win66%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 66% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win66% selection probability
Projected score1–2Taroona (W)Glenorchy Knights (W)
Expected goals3.57Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over70% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
16% / 17% / 66%Match resultAway win66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Taroona (W) win (16.2%)Double chanceX283.8%1.19
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Yes 69% · No 31%Both teams scoreYes69%1.45
3.57 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Taroona (W) win16%6.256.5013.9%
Draw17%5.885.5016.5%
Glenorchy Knights (W) win66%1.521.3069.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Taroona (W)1.37

Home share of expected goals 38.4%

Total expected goals3.57Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%

Glenorchy Knights (W)2.20

Away share of expected goals 61.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 69% · No 31%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Taroona (W)

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Glenorchy Knights (W)

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Win probability excluding draw
66%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.37
Expected goals
2.20
Taroona (W)Glenorchy Knights (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Taroona (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Glenorchy Knights (W) signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Taroona (W) vs Glenorchy Knights (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Taroona (W) win 16%,Draw 17%,Glenorchy Knights (W) win 66%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.57 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over