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JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Johvi FC Phoenix

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–24.62 expected goals
Away form
Home win39%
Draw23%
Away win37%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score2–2JK Tallinna Kalev IIJohvi FC Phoenix
Expected goals4.62Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over84% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes81% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 23% / 37%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Double chance1276.6%1.31
Over 84% · Under 16%Goals 2.5Over84%1.19
Yes 81% · No 19%Both teams scoreYes81%1.23
4.62 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
JK Tallinna Kalev II win39%2.56
Draw23%4.35
Johvi FC Phoenix win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev II2.35

Home share of expected goals 50.9%

Total expected goals4.62Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 84% · Under 16%

Johvi FC Phoenix2.27

Away share of expected goals 49.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 81% · No 19%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev II

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Johvi FC Phoenix

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
37%
4
Points from supplied form
10
2.35
Expected goals
2.27
JK Tallinna Kalev IIJohvi FC Phoenix
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev II signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Johvi FC Phoenix signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Johvi FC Phoenix FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev II win 39%,Draw 23%,Johvi FC Phoenix win 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.62 · Over 2.5 84% · Current selection Over