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EST Estónia - Esiliiga B · Partida ·

JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Jõhvi FC Phoenix

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–24.62 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa39%
Empate23%
Vitória visitante37%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa39% selection probability
Projected score2–2JK Tallinna Kalev IIJõhvi FC Phoenix
Expected goals4.62Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima84% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim81% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
39% / 23% / 37%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Dupla Chance1276.6%1.31
Acima 84% · Abaixo 16%Goals 2.5Acima84%1.19
Sim 81% · Não 19%Ambas as equipes marcamSim81%1.23
4.62 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–2
10.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
JK Tallinna Kalev II win39%2.56
Empate23%4.35
Jõhvi FC Phoenix win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev II2.35

Mandante share of expected goals 50.9%

Total expected goals4.62Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 84% · Abaixo 16%

Jõhvi FC Phoenix2.27

Visitante share of expected goals 49.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitSim 81% · Não 19%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev II

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Jõhvi FC Phoenix

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
37%
4
Points from supplied form
10
2.35
Expected goals
2.27
JK Tallinna Kalev IIJõhvi FC Phoenix
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev II signalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jõhvi FC Phoenix signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Jõhvi FC Phoenix FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev II ganhou 39%,Empate 23%,Jõhvi FC Phoenix ganhou 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.62 · Acima 2.5 84% · Current selection Acima