MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
EST Estonia Esiliiga B · Fixture ·

Levadia Tallinn III vs JK Tabasalu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–14.51 expected goals
Away form
Home win64%
Draw19%
Away win17%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win64% selection probability
Projected score3–1Levadia Tallinn IIIJK Tabasalu
Expected goals4.51Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over83% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
64% / 19% / 17%Match resultHome win64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Tabasalu win (17%)Double chance1X83%1.20
Over 83% · Under 17%Goals 2.5Over83%1.20
Yes 69% · No 31%Both teams scoreYes69%1.45
4.51 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Levadia Tallinn III win64%1.56
Draw19%5.26
JK Tabasalu win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Levadia Tallinn III3.25

Home share of expected goals 72.1%

Total expected goals4.51Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 83% · Under 17%

JK Tabasalu1.26

Away share of expected goals 27.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 69% · No 31%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Levadia Tallinn III

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

JK Tabasalu

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Win probability excluding draw
17%
12
Points from supplied form
9
3.25
Expected goals
1.26
Levadia Tallinn IIIJK Tabasalu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Levadia Tallinn III signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Tabasalu signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Levadia Tallinn III vs JK Tabasalu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Levadia Tallinn III win 64%,Draw 19%,JK Tabasalu win 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.51 · Over 2.5 83% · Current selection Over